100%. A lot of survivorship bias in his diatribe. I feel most people I n this thread won’t like what you’re saying though, because it goes against the very belief drilled into Silicon Valley ideology.
yah, it’s an unpopular position, but that’s fine. i’ve seen prior unpopular positions get repeated, which means they’re doing their job of bringing diversity of perspective to the discussion.
and besides, irrational certainty (over unbiased reality) is often needed to be a successful (or even an unsuccessful) entrepreneur, so the bias is not surprising.
Yeah not surprising, but I’d like to see Entrepreneurs at least acknowledge luck.
Irrational certainty I feel is dangerous. Unbiased reality on the other hand is actually where I personally see the opportunities are since most don’t frame reality correctly and it’s impossible to know it all.
