Because money which isn't spent doesn't contribute to inflation. It might contribute to inflation, but prices don't increase in reaction to possible buyers, only actual buyers (or the expectation of actual buyers, but that's a short term effect since if the customer doesn't materialize you've still got bills to pay).
Correct, which is why I said you have to look at demand. Velocity tells you nothing, it isn't an input.
Also, you are wrong about prices not increasing "in reaction to possible buyers". If we lived in the fabulous world of rational expectations and flexible prices moving instantly but we don't. Understanding why this isn't the case, ironically, is why we use monetary policy/inflation targeting.
Velocity of M2 Money Stock/Population https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=DPfD