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We see around one base pair mutation per host transmission, so that would likely already put us outside 99.9% similarity even among humans with coronavirus wouldn't it?

Rough estimate:

(29,000 base pairs, just assuming 3.5 days between generations, 395 days since first affected person (probably it was a bit more), would be 112 mutations = 99.6% similarity)

And I think we'd expect more changes to be selected for in the early period of host adaptation.




Your first sentence is missing the number, did you mean 'one bas pair'?


Yes thanks, fixed




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