It looks to me like Japan could be on the cusp of a drastic increase in cases, at least. Whether or not it translates to hospitalizations or deaths is another question (I feel it is less likely based on other health factors).
Since the beginning of November, your test-positive rate has more than doubled, from a relatively good 3% to 6%. 5% is considered "good" coverage for tests.
Test coverage per-capita does not seem to be increasing, and may have even dropped slightly in the same time period.
I'd advise against complacency in any country. We've seen just how quickly this thing can spike in a number of countries that appeared to have things "under control".
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToS...
Since the beginning of November, your test-positive rate has more than doubled, from a relatively good 3% to 6%. 5% is considered "good" coverage for tests.
Test coverage per-capita does not seem to be increasing, and may have even dropped slightly in the same time period.
I'd advise against complacency in any country. We've seen just how quickly this thing can spike in a number of countries that appeared to have things "under control".