I have no horse in this race, but with the rarity of a unicorn, it could be what amounts to luck.
Out of billion people flipping a coin 30 times, a few of them may guess correctly all 30 times; but the books they write on coin flip guessing amount to meaningless drivel.
My point is that success or failure in such a complex, edge-case, luck-based world may have very little to do with knowledge.
PG, if you’re reading this, of course I mean no disrespect and I know little of the topic and nothing of this person at hand except that he seems to have run a failed hedge fund.
I have no horse in this race, but with the rarity of a unicorn, it could be what amounts to luck.
Out of billion people flipping a coin 30 times, a few of them may guess correctly all 30 times; but the books they write on coin flip guessing amount to meaningless drivel.
My point is that success or failure in such a complex, edge-case, luck-based world may have very little to do with knowledge.
PG, if you’re reading this, of course I mean no disrespect and I know little of the topic and nothing of this person at hand except that he seems to have run a failed hedge fund.