Even if she was just a monster at predicting project success, I'd still want her on my team. Can you imagine how useful it would be to have someone able to consistently predict project success working with you?
(Interestingly, there's a less flattering interpretation of the data as well. Given a large enough organization that promiscuously shuffles people onto new projects, some of which randomly succeed, someone is going to have randomly ended up on all the successful projects. We'd then look at them and say "Look how awesome they are!", when really they just got lucky over and over again and we're looking because they got lucky. This requires that the organization size be large relative to the number of possible combinations of projects, though, which becomes increasingly unlikely over time. It's like the people who look at Warren Buffett and proclaim "he just got lucky for 40 years in a row", then do out the math and realize that the chance of someone being that consistently lucky is several million to one.)
http://xkcd.com/552/
Even if she was just a monster at predicting project success, I'd still want her on my team. Can you imagine how useful it would be to have someone able to consistently predict project success working with you?
(Interestingly, there's a less flattering interpretation of the data as well. Given a large enough organization that promiscuously shuffles people onto new projects, some of which randomly succeed, someone is going to have randomly ended up on all the successful projects. We'd then look at them and say "Look how awesome they are!", when really they just got lucky over and over again and we're looking because they got lucky. This requires that the organization size be large relative to the number of possible combinations of projects, though, which becomes increasingly unlikely over time. It's like the people who look at Warren Buffett and proclaim "he just got lucky for 40 years in a row", then do out the math and realize that the chance of someone being that consistently lucky is several million to one.)