> If you're making a claim that we are in an economic bubble, you can't claim victory if there's a stock market crash after twenty years.
What's the timeframe then? If you are the person who decides what the person actually meant, you're no longer evaluating facts. Perhaps it's better to just leave out such vague claims altogether.
> if you're saying that only X years left before things take turn for the worse
That's not what any of the examples said though. The examples said "we have only X years to take action, otherwise we may pass the implied point of no return, which will become apparent much later". Unless those examples specify what the point of no return is, they are effectively impossible to evaluate as well.
> I don't see what climate models give such a definite timeline
> There's absolutely no scientific reason to think that Britain will turn into Siberia in four years.
Of course you can evaluate the claims according to your own opinion, but then you will lose the claim to objectivity (at this point I lose interest personally), and then you risk unwittigly making your list political on top of that.
What's the timeframe then? If you are the person who decides what the person actually meant, you're no longer evaluating facts. Perhaps it's better to just leave out such vague claims altogether.
> if you're saying that only X years left before things take turn for the worse
That's not what any of the examples said though. The examples said "we have only X years to take action, otherwise we may pass the implied point of no return, which will become apparent much later". Unless those examples specify what the point of no return is, they are effectively impossible to evaluate as well.
> I don't see what climate models give such a definite timeline
> There's absolutely no scientific reason to think that Britain will turn into Siberia in four years.
Of course you can evaluate the claims according to your own opinion, but then you will lose the claim to objectivity (at this point I lose interest personally), and then you risk unwittigly making your list political on top of that.