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I think this is covered by the GP's point about history. Each era in the history of software has automated many things that would have required lower-level custom development before. But this has never resulted in less demand for software. Rather, people have always upgraded their expectations and demanded even more powerful software. It sounds to me like you're saying the demand will go down, but I doubt it because that's never happened before.

Of course if there were some breakthrough on the supply side and we could automate the software dev process itself, which I guess is what the article is saying, that would change everything. But that's beyond a silver bullet, that's a silver spaceship. So I doubt that too, and the GP's right to point out that every generation has had its version of this prediction also.




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