How do we reconcile this with the known spread rate and lethality? If it was spreading around late December when lot's of people are traveling, seeing family and drinking over Christmas and New Years then where are the mass casualties?
With a doubling time of 3 days and a morality rate of 1% a single person had it December 31st it would have infected a million people by around the end of February, killed approximately 10,000 and 150,000 would have been hospitalized by it.
I've seen a lot of articles about how it may have been spreading earlier but none seem to account for the exponential growth.
With a doubling time of 3 days and a morality rate of 1% a single person had it December 31st it would have infected a million people by around the end of February, killed approximately 10,000 and 150,000 would have been hospitalized by it.
I've seen a lot of articles about how it may have been spreading earlier but none seem to account for the exponential growth.