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If all countries had early community spread, then our knowledge of when death rates "should" measurably increase would be similarly delayed.



We're talking about all deaths here. https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps clearly shows when all deaths started to grow .


Are the spikes in prior year Q4 from the flu? And if so was this year’s flu much more mild? It seems prior to coronavirus the number of excess deaths was quite low compared to past years.


Yes, that's how flu looks every year.




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