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To be fair, the US engaged in lockdowns well after the situation had run its course in China so we had the data. It feels much more like a panic reaction than a question of which epidemiological model it best fit.



No way. China did an even more intense lockdown. If anything, the data from China indicated we should have done more, sooner. And that’s assuming you can even trust the data from China. Which you can’t.


Yeah, that's what I meant by ran its course. We had something like 80,000 outcomes to base a course of action on.




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