Perhaps they can't get statistical significance. You'd ballpark a 0.5% infection... | Hacker News

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		usaar333 on April 17, 2020 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Coronavirus clue? Most cases aboard U.S. aircraft ... Perhaps they can't get statistical significance. You'd ballpark a 0.5% infection rate in the Bay Area going by deaths and current best guesses for IFR. Your false positive rate might exceed that. These tests are better done in highly infected areas like NYC.

oldgradstudent on April 17, 2020 [–]

> current best guesses for IFR

The entire point of the study is that we don't have good estimates of the IFR.

usaar333 on April 17, 2020 | [–]

We have randomized PCR studies and ships where everyone got tested. Yes, there is error there (false negatives), but there's an upper bound to how much there can be.

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