My natural inclination would be to use the predicted fatality and severe outcome distributions by age, as a probability distribution to sample from. But, I assume that the first person who “dies by randomness” would result in uproar. Even if you could design a likelihood model of improved outcomes, it seems possible that the right choice would be to avoid riots/fights by simply doing preference based on age.

There are lots of hospital/physician/doctor types on HN. How do you think about the trade off between outcomes and “makes more sense to people”?

Having spent some time around cancer hospitals, I hope they are asking patients what they want and offer palliative options. Not everyone who has been through enough (esp in and out of hospitals) wants to spend more time in ICUs.

Sometimes hysterical families and robotic docs just cause more misery than is actually required.