98% of cases in S Korea are classified as "no outcome" at this stage - that is, it's too early to make a call. It takes 11 days on average for the disease to get really severe, so we won't see the deaths for a while. With exponential growth the pct will consistently under report the severity.
Note also that S Korea has 3x the beds of the US, and covid-19 requires very high hospitalization rates and oxygen for weeks.
Tldr: don't expect US or Europe final stats to look anything like S Korea"s current stats.
Note also that S Korea has 3x the beds of the US, and covid-19 requires very high hospitalization rates and oxygen for weeks.
Tldr: don't expect US or Europe final stats to look anything like S Korea"s current stats.
Lots more detail, and responses to common misunderstandings, here: https://www.fast.ai/2020/03/09/coronavirus/