Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

It’s still not optimism because it doesn’t imply direction. A low implied volatility just means lower expectation of big moves in either direction.

A stock that has gone up like a rocket ship will have a high implied volatility despite no crashes or expectations of declines.




It’s not optimism that stocks will only go up, but it’s optimism that they won’t suddenly go up or down by too much, which is generally to be avoided unless you’re a trader.


Right, but “not go up too much” isn’t really the normal definition of optimism when it comes to the market. If it was, an even lower implied volatility on a flat market would be irrational exuberance!




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: