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Why do you have to short anything? The idea was to get more defensive months ago. Long term treasuries are up almost 50% y-o-y.

If you think it's easy to short things in a volatile market like this, then you've probably never tried to...




I started getting defensive right after the election of 2016.

Modern history does not have an example of you know which party going on a tax cutting, over-spending, self-dealing, deregulation binge that did not end in a catastrophe. Add to that complete lack of competency when it comes to dealing with a not self-made crisis (a matter of time), and only a chump would think the good times would keep on rolling.

The market so far has absorbed the dumb trade war by pure optimism, and we only narrowly avoided a war with Iran. It all has been blind luck so far, and it just ran out.




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