It's always more spread than expected because the symptoms of infected people take time to appear and temperature screening is almost useless. An actually effective way pandemics can be stopped for sure requires an international effort and discipline... quarantined people must stay isolated from others and prevented from entering any country until the maximum incubation time. It sucks for commerce and tourism, but that's just too bad. It's a fail of reckless, spineless officials who enable infected idiots to turn an isolated disease into a worldwide pandemic.
> An actually effective way pandemics can be stopped for sure requires an international effort and discipline... quarantined people must stay isolated from others and prevented from entering any country until the maximum incubation time.
How would this be possible with asymptomatic and subclinical spread? With the absence/unreliability of testing you'd damn near need to quarantine anyone with mild cold/flu symptoms.
Even China now appears to be relaxing their quarantines because of concerns about the economic impact.
I think we're just going to be dealing with this over the next 12-18 months, as countries see it arrive and spread within their borders.
