Nobody's disagreeing with the statistics, they're disagreeing that statistical likelihood of success is a good criteria for determining whether to congratulate somebody on something or not.
I suspect that if we used that criteria, we'd end up reinforcing a lot of existing trends. For example, my daughter gets into a computer science program, but I know that most women don't end up getting jobs in that field, so I withhold congratulations. Why are you yelling? I'm right! I'm backed by decades of statistics.
I’m curious if you will elaborate. What your parent commenter said about failing marriages is factual and is supported by statistics —- for decades.
You saying that somebody _seems_ to be an asshole however, I see nothing factual about that statement.
Would you try expanding on your position?