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This story somewhat reminds me of The Giant Pool of Money[1], a landmark This American Life story on the origins of the 2008 financial crisis (remarkably) reported in the early-middle stages of the crisis (May 2008). One of the things it points to as fueling the sub-prime mortgage crisis was an impossible-to-meet demand for mortgages to be bundled in to CDOs which lead to mortgage lenders lowering their standards to increase supply to try to meet the demand. Why was the demand so high? During the early-to-mid 2000s the global money supply had basically doubled (the titular Giant Pool of Money) and that new cash needed somewhere "safe" to be parked and CDOs were the highest-yielding "safe" investments.

That pool of money hasn't gone away and the lesson investors seem to have learned from the financial crisis is that the only truly safe investments are government bonds issued by major governments. The demand that drove mortgage lenders to make (in hindsight) irrational decisions to increase supply seems to have shifted over to those government bonds. Because the supply of bonds is fixed by politicians the market is responding as it needs to match demand with supply: lowering rates (effectively increasing the "price" of the bond), even below 0, to lower demand to meet the available supply.

[1] https://www.thisamericanlife.org/355/the-giant-pool-of-money



Government rates are set by the market at auction. The government does not set the rate of their own bonds, they just offer to sell a certain amount, and the auction determines the rate.

In the US, the Federal Reserve sets the Federal Funds rate, which is (supposed to be) determined independent of the federal government.

The reason rates are low is because there is a lot of demand, and participants are bidding down the price as they compete to acquire the bonds.


Thanks for the correction, fixed.




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