There's a great interview with Ellen Shell about this exact thing[0].
The argument is obvious in retrospect but, call me a dummy, I hadn't considered it until I heard it.
The act of automating is expensive, regardless of the work involved. You want a big return on investment. so You're going to automate the expensive, high-skill jobs first and work your way down. Radiologists, and financial analysts are expensive so we automate away their jobs.
If you want a decent paying job for the foreseeable future, become a plumber.
The thesis was that everyone keeps getting automation wrong, and why the coming revolution will be far more different than what has come before. I even tried to extrapolate and show from the history of AI, just how wrong we've gotten it before and the few things that we keep on systemically underestimating.
The argument is obvious in retrospect but, call me a dummy, I hadn't considered it until I heard it.
The act of automating is expensive, regardless of the work involved. You want a big return on investment. so You're going to automate the expensive, high-skill jobs first and work your way down. Radiologists, and financial analysts are expensive so we automate away their jobs.
If you want a decent paying job for the foreseeable future, become a plumber.
[0] https://www.recode.net/2019/1/28/18199981/ellen-shell-job-au...