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No. I see what you mean, but in practice that's not what happens.

Numeric value is determined at time of sale. Without a sale, the object has no "value". It might be useful to you in some way, but it's value is 0 unless you can sell it. There is no such thing as "underlying value"

example: I have a normal orange that I bought for $5 at the supermarket. The orange's underlying value is $5. If I sell it to my friend for $10, the value of the orange is now $10. If no one is willing to buy it, its value is $0.

The same thing happens when you raise a new round. When you raise a new round, you've made a "sale": someone paid money for it. That exchange of money/shares is what determines value.




While I agree that selling something at the highest price you can is the best way to appraise value, I disagree that an up round necessarily increases the equity value of employees (unless the employees can sell off their equity during the round).

To use your orange metaphor, while it is true that if no one else wants the orange the value of the orange is $0, I don't have to sell it to have a good idea of what the price of an orange is. For example, if there are people offering to buy my orange for $8 and I know that a typical bid-ask spread for fruits is %50 of the bid and most transactions occur at midpoint I can be relatively certain that the orange is worth $10 despite no transaction occurring and there being no market for oranges (if there is a generic orange market you have access to then the entire point becomes moot since you can just take the market price).


yes, but the key part of your statement is "if there are people offering to buy". Everything else about spread/bid/ask/etc is just mathematic sugar.

"People offering to buy" is key.

It's very easy for a founder to tell employees "hey I met with a VC yesterday, and they were interested in investing at $x a share!". It's easy to say that, but making it actually happen is the real deal. When someone sign on the dotted line and hand over real $. It's a much more accurate test of value.




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