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Waymo has driven 2.7 billion miles in simulation [1]. Is that enough to give them some idea of how many deaths to expect?

[1] https://waymo.com/ontheroad/




It's impossible to know. The simulation needs to be very good with thousands and thousands of all the weird situations that can occur in the real world. Without knowing how sofisticated the simulation is and if they also are using generative algorithms to try to break the autonomous system you can't even ballpark it.




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