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I like this metaphor, with one modification:

The "poor kids" working at the carnival get unlimited free throws.

Because that's what it's like in Software right now. There has never been an industry before where the market rate is so high for individual contributors, and the real cost of starting a business are so low.

Software is a Perfect Storm of near-zero overhead and near-infinite execution leverage as compared to pretty much any other type of business.

So sure, you're right that a poor kid working at a Shoe Store can, over the course of his lifetime, open between zero and one shoe stores. But a poor kid who takes his self-taught programming skills and gets a job writing code 40 hours a week can moonlight out several hundred Minimum Viable Products if necessary until something hits big.

So yeah, it's darts. But if you throw lots of them, you'll probably hit something.




> There has never been an industry before where the market rate is so high for individual contributors, and the real cost of starting a business are so low.

Well you still need to pay your rent, your food, etc.


Sounds like you missed the word "moonlighting" in the post you're responding to.

You keep your day job writing software and do your entrepreneuring on nights and weekends. Try things out until one of them is matching your day job's income, then quit and go full time.

That's what I did. And come to think of it, it's yet another factor to throw into that Perfect Storm I mentioned above, because you can't really moonlight out a brick and mortar store while keeping your day job at another one.


Then you agree their isn't any unlimited free throws, but you get a few free throws with a severe handicap.

Glad to see it worked for you despite that handicap !


Microsoft, Facebook, and Google were created by rich kids, who got investment funding because they have wealthy friends. Not randos with laptop.

Apple was a little better.




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