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I think you might be projecting your own beliefs onto Trump's election here. If what you're saying is true then we would expect income to be a good predictor of voting for Trump right? It wasn't [0]. Trump's election was backlash, but not to loss of jobs. It was a backlash against much more than that?

Did you feel that loss of jobs to technology was a problem before Trump? If so it seems very convenient to believe that the election of a candidate that I'm assuming you hate, was due to a situation which you already hated. I'd encourage you to look a little more deeply at what caused people to vote for Trump.

[0] http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/education-not-income-pre...




"we would expect income to be a good predictor of voting for Trump right? It wasn't [0]"

The figures in that article are all aggregates (at county level) and say nothing about whether an individual's income level correlates with voting for Trump.

Imagine a scenario in which there are two types of county:

- Type A: High median income; high income inequality (as measured by Gini coefficient)

- Type B: Low median income; low income inequality

If there are more Trump supporters in A than B, does that suggest that low income doesn't encourage voting for Trump? Not necessarily: perhaps low income relative to neighbours or living costs encourages voting for Trump.

I'm not saying income isn't a good predictor for voting for Trump. However, I'm not sure the post you cited demonstrates that either way.




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