I really like Nissan Leaf and I love the fact that Nissan is out there as a competitor. But the reason anyone buys Nissan Leaf is that it is for sale already and that the price is only $29,000.
Otherwise it's inferior to Tesla model 3 in almost any aspect (not to mention the larger Teslas):
- only 107 mile range vs. 215 miles
- no super chargers or own network, relies on third party generic chargers
- less trunk space
- less acceleration
- no battery swap
- no regular software upgrades over the internet
- no self driving capabilities
- no flat screen controls
When Tesla model 3 is out, selling at $35,000, Nissan will have to make serious upgrades to remain a viable alternative.
1. Comparing the range of an actual 'currently being produced' vehicle to the stated range of a vehicle that's not yet in production is disingenuous in my book. Expect the leaf (v2?) to have at least 25% more range by the time the Model 3 is being produced.
2. While 'more acceleration' sound nice in theory, using all this power is usually pretty bad for your range.
3. While the battery swap sounds nice, in practice battery degradation hasn't been that bad according to many EV owners I talked to. Will it actually be necessary? If you're thinking about swapping the battery for a quick 'charge' I'm not sure that's going to be available for the Model 3 (and even if available, what the costs for doing so will be.).
4. Some might like the flat screen, I'm personally not a very big fan. Plain old fashioned knobs and buttons are really easy to work with.
I agree with the rest of your list but I'm pretty sure EV sales (especially for the near future, say the next ten years) are not a zero-sum game. Plenty of Leafs, Bolts, Souls, and Model 3s will be sold regardless of the fact that the Model3 may be 'better' based on your definition.
Disclaimer: I drive a Kia Soul EV with 'only' ~100 miles real-world range.
Other than the 250,000 drivers of Nissan Leafs... I think that's beyond twice as many as every Tesla ever built.