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The biggest problem with the lone-gunman theory is this: what if the rocket was hit in an area that didn't cause an immediate, violent explosion?

If you hit the rocket at all, something will fail, very possibly in a manner that will either be noticed before launch or discovered by a subsequent investigation. A .50 caliber bullet hole with its edges facing inward will not be missed by investigators, if there's anything left to investigate at all.

So, no. Nobody shot the rocket with a sniper rifle, because that would be stupid. They would be very likely to get caught, or to cause detectable damage that would obviously not be SpaceX's fault.



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