But the calories out side varies among individuals. Bodies aren't 100% efficient at extracting compounds between eating and excreting. Two people can eat the same exact foods, do the exact same exercises, and gain or lose different amounts of weight.
I don't think anyone's seriously claiming that everyone will react the same to diet and exercise, or that "calories in - calories out = weight lost" is the only word on weight loss.
So, you've made - repeatedly - the completely obvious point that, if you can account for every term in the equation, calories in - calories out = change in weight.
Thank you for that. Now if you'd like to adopt the assumption that your audience isn't brainless, let's talk about the interesting point that everyone wants to be talking about: that the 'calories out' number varies for the same 'calories in' number across people, diets, and behaviors.