It's fine if the "rambling" is logically coherent. So the communication ability isn't really about expressing your thoughts eloquently, but just effectively and clearly. Run on sentences and train of thought is fine as long as you are saying something meaningful. But no AI will be able to read your mind and know exactly what you mean by "make really cool looking website, not lame please, also nice colors, not boring". Declarative programming through natural language will become incredibly powerful.
I can't tell how much of this post is describing/LARPing a point of view, or expressing your actual beliefs. The last few paragraphs make me think it's what you actually think though.
Glorious as a personal sentiment isn't exactly how I'd describe the French Revolution.
Yes, stirring up anti-AI hatred is fine as long as it's directed at your I-Banker/PE friends from school who majored in economics, but totally bad if it's directed at you since you majored in Comp Sci (the source of AI to begin with) and went into tech.
"Just that framing, means that a bank "performs" better, when it minimizes deposits and maximizes loans"- is this how you think finance actually works? Maybe first learn how things work before inventing your own terminology or "notation" like sign-flip institution. It's not worth 20 IQ points if it's wrong. The younger generations (and I am a member) are certainly no smarter or wiser than previous generations. Many sure seem to think they are though.
How? Most of what was mentioned requires discretion and judgment. You can question whether an LLM would be able to offer that, but there’s no script that can do b it.
I was looking for the first comment along these lines. Regardless of your views on this topic, everyone has an opinion and it's funny how the entire comment section finds a way to self-censor.
I always find these "anti-AI" AI believer takes fascinating. If true AGI (which you are describing) comes to pass, there will certainly be massive societal consequences, and I'm not saying there won't be any dangers. But the economics in the resulting post-scarcity regime will be so far removed from our current world that I doubt any of this economic analysis will be even close to the mark.
I think the disconnect is that you are imagining a world where somehow LLMs are able to one-shot web businesses, but robotics and real-world tech is left untouched. Once LLMs can publish in top math/physics journals with little human assistance, it's a small step to dominating NeurIPS and getting us out of our mini-winter in robotics/RL. We're going to have Skynet or Star Trek, not the current weird situation where poor people can't afford healthy food, but can afford a smartphone.
Star Trek only got a good society after discovering FTL and existence of all manner of alien societies. And even after that Star Treks story motivations on why we turned good sound quite implausible given what we know about human nature and history. No effing way it will ever happen even if we discover aliens. Its just a wishful fever dream.
It isn't even just the aliens (although my headcanon is that the human belief that they "evolved beyond their base instincts" is part a trauma response to first contact and World War 3, and part Vulcan propaganda/psyop.) Star Trek's post scarcity society depends on replicators and transporters and free energy all of which defy the laws of physics in our universe (on top of FTL.)
We'll never have Star Trek. We'll also never have SkyNet, because SkyNet was too rational. It seems obvious that any AGI that emerges from LLMs - assuming that's possible - will not behave according to the old "cold and logical machine" template of AI common in sci-fi media. Whatever the future holds will be more stupid and ridiculous than we can imagine, because the present already is.
Well they didn't necessarily stop waging war in Star Trek either.. They also spent most of their time trying to not get defeated by parasitic artificial intelligence.
except it's sort of true and a reasonable assumption to make? Just as when a master painter makes something that looks "sloppy" to the layman, one immediately assumes there is some deep artistry behind it as opposed to poor technique, whereas when a child does it, one does not extend the same charitable attitude.
Sure I think there's some truth the that. You've gotta learn the rules first to know when it's ok break the rules. Somebody with a lot of experience should be able to judge how their message will be received, and what amount of effort is "good enough". Whereas someone with less workspace experience may lack such judgement, and is probably better off erring on the side of "too good" rather than "not good enough".
But it's definitely also very much tied to status, power, and privilege. The same people who have no qualms about firing off a sloppy email to their subordinates often spend a lot more effort on emails to their bosses. But even this discrepancy is justified, I think, given that a manager represents their subordinates to the higher ups. And the potential consequences of a bad impression or misunderstanding are more severe when communicating up the chain of command.
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