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I tested o3 on a medical issue I've had that 50+ doctors couldn't diagnose over the span of 6-7 years, ended up figuring it out through sheer luck. With my first prompt, it gave a list of probabilities, with the correct answer being listed as the third most likely. It also suggested correct tests to run for every option. I trust it way more than I trust human doctors who were confidently wrong about me for years.


I'm still thinking a simple expert system used by some nurse used to getting people to explain their symptoms would be enough to replace a general MD.

Less time and money spent to train those nurses, which you can then spend on training specialists. And your expert system will take less time to update than training thousands of doctor every time some new protocol or drug is released.


totally agree, identified an infection with a dangerous bacteria based on a single photo - the doctor just thought about if after presented with the AI opinion


What percentage of companies can hire an engineer who writes better code than o3?


Given that o3 just spun its wheels endlessly trying to correct a CSS issue by suggesting to create a "tailwind.config.X" file despite being given the package JSON which contained a clear reference to Tailwind 4x - I'd say any engineer capable of reading and learning from basic documentation.

For reference, Tailwind 4 will not read in config files by default (which is the older behavior) - the encouraged practice is to configure customizations directly in the CSS file where you import Tailwind itself.


Tell the AI to comment above the include why it uses a specific version, ask it to document the version and it's specific quirks after fixing it with it.

Not sure how o3 is generally at coding, but this kind of meta information works well for me to avoid version missmatches with Claude and Gemini

It's kinda important that the AI finds the issues itself so it can properly document it in her own words.


Is breaking API changes how we defeat the killer robots?


It is most definitely 100%. Any competent programmer can write code better than the current AI tools.


I'm a big booster of AI, but this doesn't even make sense. Any project using even the very best code generator in existence is going to need to be stewarded and tightly monitored by a competent programmer. AI is miraculous, but can't do crap reliably on it's own.


Whatever percentage that can hire an engineer at all.

This won't be 100%, but that'll be the companies who're able to hire somebody to parse the problems that arise. Without that engineer, they'll be doing what OP calls 'vibe coding', meaning they'll neither understand nor be able to fix when the whole thing blows up.


100%


highly doubt that


Then why ask the question, if you're so sure of the answer?


This question isn’t useful without context. But yes the answer is probably 100%.


So much worse than Devin/Replit.

Also, the system prompt encourages it to use Genkit, so it tried to add AI to an email sending function...


Have you seen gmail recently? They've plugged in ai all over it


These days, applying through job portals is a losing strategy. People are overwhelmed with perfect-on-paper AI-generated applications.

Email people directly. DM them on Twitter/LinkedIn. Meet people in person.


Vernor Vinge as much as anyone can be credited with the concept of the singularity. In his 1993 essay on it, he said he'd be surprised if it happened before 2005 or after 2030

https://edoras.sdsu.edu/~vinge/misc/singularity.html


Fwiw, that prediction was during Moore's law though. If that held until now, CPUs would run laps around what our current gpus do for LLMs.


Devin got a lot faster for me recently, made it a lot more enjoyable to use


i wrote about the prospect of financial returns from AGI here if anyone's interested - https://sergey.substack.com/p/will-all-this-ai-investment-pa...


Daniel Gross (with his partner Nat Friedman) invested $100M into Magic alone.

I don't think SSI will struggle to raise money.


If you read the WSJ article, his second investment was $15,000 for 2% of Stripe


Nice. A tiny fraction of the opportunity cost of working as a founding engineer, people come to you to be vetted, and you can shotgun-approach it. Most of us are in the wrong business.


Very strange how many people are here to dunk on Zuck. He's opening up an OS. THAT'S AWESOME! We should celebrate that in principle, no matter how we feel about him or VR in general.


Oculus still requires a Facebook login; don't you see the conflict?


you really should be factually correct when dunking on something

It hasn't been called Oculus for ages and it doesn't require a Facebook login. Meta accounts are stand alone and completely different, you can create as many as you want without giving your identity, just an email address, you don't need to link it to anything.


it requires a meta sign-in, which isn't a facebook account.


potato <=> potato (sounds on)


no, those are completely different… a facebook account is an account on a social network that requires you to use your real name or else you get banned. a facebook account links you to your real life identity and your real life social circles

a meta account is an account that you can optionally link to their social medias, but it isn’t required

meta accounts are basically just oculus accounts


I don't need an account to use my monitor or my TV. Why do I need one for a VR Headset?


Because these aren’t dumb headsets that just plug into your PC. These are standalone headsets that handle the whole thing — they aren’t just a display and controllers, they take the role of the PC too.

So, needing an account for these is more comparable to needing an account to use Steam


I don't need Steam to run my games or to pipe data into my Valve Index either.

It's still unclear to me why an account is needed. I mean, I get the profit and control motive, I just don't understand the technical reasons.


Yeah, I guess I do agree that you should be able to just run it without an account and load apps from elsewhere

I doubt there is any actual technical reason, just profit/control. I mean, it’s Meta, would you really put it past them?


I don't know Zuckerberg, so I don't know his motivation, nor the executives of Meta. I haven't really read any of their work.

Profit and control fit the data points, but I suppose I could "put it past them" if a better model explained everything.


Because you need to buy apps to make use of your VR headset. Lets put it this way, do you need an account to use your Iphone?


No, in fact, I don't.

My device is not signed into any Apple services right now or any Apple IDs. Anything my company needs to deploy gets pushed by MDM or via enterprise-signed applications.


You just told me that you are part of the 0.0000001% of users and so your point is moot


Dont be fooled by the marketing language.

All they are doing is allowing some companies to pay them billions of dollars to put meta onto their own headsets. Similar to how Valve allowed a few companies to put SteamOS onto their own hardware to create 'Steam Machines'.

I cant think of a single time in history when this tactic has worked. and made a product or brand more successful. Please correct me if I am wrong.


to third-party hardware makers.

And it's still based on Android.

The reason will be the same as for Android by Google: Control the market.


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