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It's because the California government doesn't believe in markets, prices as incentives or anything like that. California govt believes in state mandates


California famously deregulated its electricity market at the end of the 20th century, becoming the first state to do so. https://paylesspower.com/blog/deregulated-energy-states/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000%E2%80%932001_California_e...


You understand there are multiple types of regulation, right? The deregulation you're referring to was with respect to generators being able to sell into the grid.

The relevant regulation here is the state-backed guarantees on returns for pge under authority of CPUC. CPUC approves basically any rate increases pge approves. It doesn't need to do this. It could hold pge accountable based on what they determine qualifies as operating expenses vs. infrastructure improvements. PGE wants everything to count as infrastructure improvement because they're guaranteed a rate of return on infrastructure projects.

Obviously it's difficult to determine what "infrastructure improvements" were actually due to poor management and maintenance vs. what infrastructure improvements are required purely to meet demand (for example) or from "normal wear and tear".

It's hard to reconcile 1) the fact that there's pretty broad consensus that PGE fucked up and didn't fulfill its obligations, especially maintenance and 2) reporting record profits. Clearly there's something wrong with the system, particularly the CPUC-utility relationship. AKA, regulation.


I understand that. I'm simply stating that GGP's assertion that California "doesn't believe in markets" is at odds with the reality that Pete Wilson signed a law that made California the very first state with an electricity market.


I see, apologies if I was too aggressive in my reply.


Wow no regulations in California. First I’m hearing of this


Can we get an updated opinion in light of the facts being the exact reverse opposite of the initial hypothesis?


on the Internet? never!


Wow no regulations in California. First I’m hearing of this


Not believing in "free" markets but in state mandates would lead to stable prices.


And there’s no richer state in the union.


According to this, there is only one new car model of any kind selling for under $20K in the US these days

https://www.carfax.com/rankings/cheapest-cars


One would be wiser to based on annual depreciation in real $ plus time value of purchase price. I suspect out of new trucks a tacoma would be the cheapest since the depreciation is low to negative (IIRC recently a Tacoma was worth more 1 year old than new).


All new car brands/models will not have comps for several years. Even folks buying Rivians, etc have no idea how the resale value will play out so you’re always going to have to take a gamble


This article is missing at least the Mitsubishi Mirage - the 2024 model year still seems to be available for 17k in the base trim?


Isn't that the hydrogen fuel one? If so, that's the reason why it's only 17k..


I tested o3 on a medical issue I've had that 50+ doctors couldn't diagnose over the span of 6-7 years, ended up figuring it out through sheer luck. With my first prompt, it gave a list of probabilities, with the correct answer being listed as the third most likely. It also suggested correct tests to run for every option. I trust it way more than I trust human doctors who were confidently wrong about me for years.


I'm still thinking a simple expert system used by some nurse used to getting people to explain their symptoms would be enough to replace a general MD.

Less time and money spent to train those nurses, which you can then spend on training specialists. And your expert system will take less time to update than training thousands of doctor every time some new protocol or drug is released.


totally agree, identified an infection with a dangerous bacteria based on a single photo - the doctor just thought about if after presented with the AI opinion


What percentage of companies can hire an engineer who writes better code than o3?


Given that o3 just spun its wheels endlessly trying to correct a CSS issue by suggesting to create a "tailwind.config.X" file despite being given the package JSON which contained a clear reference to Tailwind 4x - I'd say any engineer capable of reading and learning from basic documentation.

For reference, Tailwind 4 will not read in config files by default (which is the older behavior) - the encouraged practice is to configure customizations directly in the CSS file where you import Tailwind itself.


Tell the AI to comment above the include why it uses a specific version, ask it to document the version and it's specific quirks after fixing it with it.

Not sure how o3 is generally at coding, but this kind of meta information works well for me to avoid version missmatches with Claude and Gemini

It's kinda important that the AI finds the issues itself so it can properly document it in her own words.


Is breaking API changes how we defeat the killer robots?


It is most definitely 100%. Any competent programmer can write code better than the current AI tools.


I'm a big booster of AI, but this doesn't even make sense. Any project using even the very best code generator in existence is going to need to be stewarded and tightly monitored by a competent programmer. AI is miraculous, but can't do crap reliably on it's own.


Whatever percentage that can hire an engineer at all.

This won't be 100%, but that'll be the companies who're able to hire somebody to parse the problems that arise. Without that engineer, they'll be doing what OP calls 'vibe coding', meaning they'll neither understand nor be able to fix when the whole thing blows up.


100%


highly doubt that


Then why ask the question, if you're so sure of the answer?


This question isn’t useful without context. But yes the answer is probably 100%.


So much worse than Devin/Replit.

Also, the system prompt encourages it to use Genkit, so it tried to add AI to an email sending function...


Have you seen gmail recently? They've plugged in ai all over it


These days, applying through job portals is a losing strategy. People are overwhelmed with perfect-on-paper AI-generated applications.

Email people directly. DM them on Twitter/LinkedIn. Meet people in person.


Vernor Vinge as much as anyone can be credited with the concept of the singularity. In his 1993 essay on it, he said he'd be surprised if it happened before 2005 or after 2030

https://edoras.sdsu.edu/~vinge/misc/singularity.html


Fwiw, that prediction was during Moore's law though. If that held until now, CPUs would run laps around what our current gpus do for LLMs.


Devin got a lot faster for me recently, made it a lot more enjoyable to use


i wrote about the prospect of financial returns from AGI here if anyone's interested - https://sergey.substack.com/p/will-all-this-ai-investment-pa...


Daniel Gross (with his partner Nat Friedman) invested $100M into Magic alone.

I don't think SSI will struggle to raise money.


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