datum: I'm ND, but I'm a good test-taker. There were plenty of tests for subjects where I didn't need to study because I was adept at reading the question and correctly assuming what the test-creator wanted answered, and using deduction to reduce possibilities down enough that I could be certain of an answer - or by using meta-knowledge of where the material from the recent lectures was to narrow things down, again, not because I knew the material all that well but because I could read the question. Effectively, I had a decent grasp of the "game" of test-taking, which is rather orthogonal to the actual knowledge of the class material.
I often find that people using the word emergent to describe properties of a system tend to ascribe quasi magical properties to the system. Things tend to get vague and hand wavy when that term comes up.
Just call them properties with unknown provenance.
> Just call them properties with unknown provenance.
They would if it would be the correct designation, however, it is not.
Emergence does not equal non-understanding or some spooky-hooky force coming from the unknown.Reductionism does not lead to an explaining-away of emergence.
The dude has a staff of 30 people who's whole job is to connect him to literally anyone he wants to communicate with -- you're telling me that the usability of concierge service with more than two dozen staffers is inferior to using signal in a building with shitty cell service?
I've wondered about this quite a bit and imagine there's got to be a "telephone" (the game of message distortion) like aspect where if some of the communication was explained, even a little push back might change the outcome. For example, a human intermediary presented with "send these details to these people" might get a "are you sure this person should have access to this?" ultimately preventing a bad/illegal action. People avoiding this kind of accountability, even just to a communications staffer, seems like it would have to be to reduce the subtle steering that happens when people are faced with conflict they don't want to, or have run out of psychological budget to, address.
> Hence the customer is paying 1175 for the 1000 bike, not 2450.
No, all of these business rely on percentage margins to stay cashflow positive, not absolute revenue. It's possible that a few companies will absorb a small amount of the percentage, and result in it costing 2200 or something, but the tariff is not like VAT, it won't get "tacked on at the end", because each step in the chain depends on economies of scale that in turn depend on demand that are sensitive to price. Price going up decreases sales, which incurs additional overhead per sale, etc. Businesses are not going to give up their net margin for free, they'll only do it if it's the least bad way to address the shortfall of sales as a result of price increases.
You are correct in that it is all based on margins. I am used to the UK where there is VAT, plus multiple steps in an import chain, from importer, distributor, wholesaler and retailer. With some brands the importer is the distributor, sometimes the distributor is the wholesaler and sometimes the wholesaler is the retailer. Supply chains depend on the product to some extent and if the product is exclusive to a given supplier.
In B2B there is typically a doubling of price at each step so the 'trade price' appears incredibly cheap to a customer, yet that is a multiple of the import price.
Each step has its own risks and overheads so it is not greedy to have these markups.
B2B customers are in a strong position to negotiate prices and B2B sales staff know their customers well. It is therefore entirely possible for costs due to tariffs to be passed down the chain without everyone doubling that tariff tax at every stage. There is no incentive to do so, or for those costs to be absorbed.
What I am saying is that it works more like a customs duty rather than a simple price hike.
Wait for the panic to die down and see how this happens.
Two observations, much like Brexit, life goes on, shops are full and people still eat. Then, as for the vast bounty that the guy in the White House expects to raise, there is very little and no cash windfall arrives.
Clearly some products are more complex than others, I only really know typical e-commerce stuff, not automobiles that go across the Mexican border three times as they get assembled.
I have noted that the media has mom and pop entrepreneurs importing things such as plastic spoons for autistic pigeons to clean their ears with or diapers for left handed crypto-bros, where they are going to be exposed to the tariffs bigly. The media have not had typical medium sized retail businesses that buy goods from wholesalers that deal with distribution companies.
I am no fan of the tariffs or the orange man but I did live through Brexit and have my reasons not to go into panic mode.
I also think historical comparisons to tariffs a century or more ago are not helpful as the distribution chain has evolved over time. In these distant times a tariff would act like a customs duty on tobacco or alcohol.
the official twitch app for apple tv is... not so great.
If you're keen on taking feature requests, here's a difficult one:
- OLED TVs are incredible, but my previous 2017 vintage LG eventually suffered burn-in from long-running streams with static imagery (streamer logo)
- I doubt you have any way to really mess with the actual video content at all, but some form of mitigation for static imagery would be a dream come true for us oled owners.
for sure! I've had a bunch of people in the community ask for tvOS so I'm excited to be able to make it reality.
The OLED consideration is something I wouldn't have thought about, but that's a really good thing to keep in mind. even if I can't mess with the video itself, it's not an issue to display content over top of it. It really just comes down to what's needed to ensure no issues with burn in.
Ah yes, I'm sure we all want Hasbro making our indie board games because they're adults who pay someone to optimize their shipping costs.
It's kind of wild to be this smug about a technicality (um ACKCHUALLY it's under THIS code and not THAT one, can't you even read lol) and act like anyone should just be ready for historically high tariffs applied on the whims of an autocrat when you were formerly doing business in one of the most business friendly countries on earth.
People trusted logistical partners to do their job, and it was evidently misplaced, but to act like being caught off guard by all that is laziness is cringeworthy. Comes off like they have an axe to grind.
And while the blog post was informative about some nuance of the import situation, the author's tone is annoyingly smug and takes entirely too much pleasure in criticizing others in their industry; it's enough to turn me off of buying anything from them.
Chinese propaganda efforts will look more like russian botnets astroturfing culture war bullshit (which is a major factor in politics now), only instead of crude sockpuppets parroting talking points at people, it will look more like "nudge each personality/demographic archtype towards the content that incites their flavor of distrust in government/society/the elite/immigrants etc"
No, the runner up country in the AI race with a vested interest in undermining the USA should not, as a matter of reasonable statecraft, have
mainline access to the algorithmic media feed of the nation's youth...
The dude is being retaliated against for doing his job and reporting facts that contradict an authoritarian conspiracy; regardless of your personal opinion of the man - this is, like so many other egregious abuses of power this admin has done, an illegal and flagrant abuse of power.
If I'm just exploring ideas for fun or scratching my own itch, I have no desire to be thinking about a continuous stream of expenditure happening in the background when I have an apple silicon mac with 64GB of ram fully capable of running an agentic stack with tool calling etc.
Please make it trivial to setup and use a llamafile or similar as the LLM for this.
Clone Wars microseries did more for my love of star wars than all the movies put together.
pure effing magic.