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LeBron James still knows more about how to play basketball than whoever is in the mech suit opposite him.

> LeBron James still knows more about how to play basketball

i would bet that there are currently lots of people who would beat LeBron in theoretical basketball, but don't have the body nor the endurance to compete.

But with a mecha-suit, the advantages of any natural born talent, and any issue with endurance or strength, etc, are diminished, leaving only mental capability as a differentiator.

That's not to say that LeBron's mental capability (in regards to basketball) is low - surely it's high. But the combination of high athletisism and mental capability is a rarity right now. Removing one of these conditions (via the mecha-suit) will then increase the pool of "high" performers imho.


LeBron is one of the rare individuals at that intersection of high athleticism and mental capability. It's why at the age of 40, well past his athletic prime, he's still a top NBA player. He has Magnus-level chunking ability enabling prodigious memory for games, he has fast processing and court vision, being able to leverage symmetries to automatically adjust for current player orientations to predict opponent plays. It's what allows him to make passes that seem impossible--he sees windows open up based on predicted player movements, not just current positions. Like that famous Wayne Gretzky quote.

It's a super rare archetype of athleticism/size+mental that only the likes of LeBron, Jokic and Magic Johnson have occupied (not meant to be an exhaustive list).


> leaving only mental capability as a differentiator

I think a huge part of most sports (especially combat ones) is muscle memory. You don't have time to think between moves. So if you want to be good you'll still have to work for days and make your body learn.

And if you think muscle memory is bullshit, try to remember how driving was hard at first and nowadays you can almost sleep through your commute.


I think that’s the same with coding in a stack you really familiar with, especially if you’re fluent in your editor. Sometimes your mind is a few steps ahead of what you’re actually writing. The bulk of the work is below the focus level.

Mech-basketball is a different game than basketball. There would be an entirely new metagame. I just watched Magnus Carlsen get checkmated in 7 moves in magic chess, a move even a 10 year old could find ( vs GM Hansen if you want so see it ).

Another analogy:

"A good archer is going to be an amazing sharpshooter and therefore I only want to field archers (with guns) as soldiers", might be a horrible way to run a modern military.

This "the best at the old thing will be the best at the new thing too!" needs to die in a fire.


Really difficult to argue that “both sides are equally to blame for the bad discourse” when one side had a mob of terrorists storm the capitol (then pardoned all of them) and the other side held up tiny signs during a speech.


Or instead of making a bad faith comparison of partisan violence, you could compare it to the George Floyd protests which injured over 700 police officers and killed over 20 people.


And in which case did the party leader stand up and incite the mob before they went on their war path?

If we’re going to compare January 6 to the George Floyd riots, one was explicitly political, and the other one was fed up populace.

One started with a rally intended to gas the mob up in hopes of securing the capital for their fuhrer. The other was started as the result of the outright murder of an individual by a state actor.

One was essentially organized by the Republican Party leader, and the other was an impromptu display of discontent.


There were quite a few Democrats that encouraged the protests that turned into riots during the George Floyd stuff.

That's literally exactly the same as Trump. He encouraged a protest, but literally told them to peacefully protest, just as many of those Democrats did.


And for how many of them were the protests formed around the Democrat politician?

How many Democrats: got up on stage for a rally for themselves then -> told the attendees to go and “peacefully protest” then -> the protestors went and turned into a riot?

How many of the George Floyd protesters were chanting to hang a public official? With the intent of dismantling democracy?

These are not the same.


Now go one step further and discuss what both sides were protesting.


There was no evidence supporting the narrative for either riot. The idea that black people are disproportionately killed by police is not supported by the data, unless you think a single murder justified all of those riots and the deaths.


Why make up lies on the internet?


It's not a lie, you've been sold a lie about what the statistics mean. Police shootings are proportional to "encounters with violent criminals", regardless of race [2]. Black people are overrepresented in police shootings because they are overrepresented in the criminal population, eg. 49% of known murderers are black, despite comprising only 13% of the population [1], and other violent offenses track this disparity. There is simply no convincing evidence that a large percentage of shootings are racially motivated once controlling for violent encounters.

Some try to argue that black people are overrepresented in the criminal population because of over policing, but it simply does not follow that this would cause almost 50% of murderers to be black. It would require a lot of special pleading to explain the evidence, eg. ok, maybe most murderers are black but most other encounters with police are racially motivated, and/or police would have to be letting upwards of 10,000 white murderers go to reach demographic parity with black offenders. These epicycles are stupid, you need to let go of this left dogma that vehemently believes that all groups are necessarily the same and only oppression drives observable differences in outcomes. Whatever the ultimate source of the group differences, police action broadly following the distribution of criminality with no racial component is best supported by the facts (there are always individual exceptions of course).

Proper statistical arguments like this debunked claims that the 2020 election was rigged, so as I said, unless you think Floyd's murder by itself justified the protests and the riots and the ensuing death, injuries and destruction, then neither set of protests/riots were justified. But it's interesting that only one of these false narratives is amplified as true and is culturally taboo to question.

[1] https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2018/crime-in-the-u.s.-...

[2] https://fryer.scholars.harvard.edu/publications/empirical-an...


Thank you for bringing the receipts! I really appreciate it when people spend some of their time to debunk political lies.


This is a chicken-egg problem. Those cities became tier 1 cities over time because of their proactive public transit strategies.


I attended this talk in person and some context is needed. He was invited for the “test of time” talk series. This explains the historical part of the talk. I think his general persona and association with ai led to the fluffy speculation at the end.

I notice with Ilya he wants to talk about these out there speculative topics but defends himself with statements like “I’m not saying when or how just that it will happen” which makes his arguments impossible to address. Stuff like this openly invites the crazies to to interact with him, as seen with the cryptocurrency question at the end.

Right before this was a talk reviewing the impact of GANs that stayed on topic for the conference session throughout.


I mean he repeateadly gave some hints (even if just for the lulz and not seriously) that the audience is at least partially composed of people with little technical background or AI bros. An example is when he mentioned LSTMs and said "many of you may never seen before". Even if he didn't mean it, ironically it ended being spot on when the crypto question came.


As someone who is at NeurIPS right now with a main conference paper, I was shocked at how many NeurIPS attendees had no paper. At ACL conferences, almost every person attending has a paper (even if it's only at a workshop)

NeurIPS is "ruined" by the money and thus attracts huge amounts of people who are all trying to get rich. It's a bloody academic conference people!


how was the conference overall, did you learn anything?


A lot and I will write up a huge response to this after I’ve processed it all…


    > the audience is at least partially composed of people with little technical background or AI bros.
I have never seen the term "AI bros". What does it mean?


A person with little or no technical background, that neither knows nor cares about AI (or other scientific/mathematical advancements) other than their potential to make the AI bro rich. There is a big overlap with crypto bros, and in fact many AI bros are just grifters who moved on after crypto tanked with the recent fed funds rate hikes.


> after crypto tanked with the recent fed funds rate hikes

When? It's at an all time high right now


Recent as in 18 months ago.

Not recent as in the last 3 months.


It's just someone who involves themselves in AI but as a slur.


Parent presumably coined the term but it's pretty clear what it means from similarly to techbro, brogrammer, cryptobro etc.


Kinda, pretty sure I've read it somewhere else before. Plus, it has entries in Urban Dictionary from early 2023.


Analogous to tech bro, crypto bro.

I.e. someone who has shallow technical understanding or independent thought, but is following trends in hopes of turning a profit.


"a talk reviewing the impact of GANs"

Is that available online?


Ugh… docker containers. I also wish there was a simpler way but I don’t think there is.


this is not what I wanted to hear. NOT AT ALL. Please whisper sweet lies into my ears.


At the moment I’m working on a system to quickly replicate academic deep learning repos (papers) at scale. At least Amazon has a catalogue of prebuilt containers with cuda/pytorch combos. I still occasionally have an issue where the container works on my 3090 test bench but not on the T4 cloud node…


These samples are terrible when compared to commercially released models like from eleven labs or playht. This is an extension of an interesting architecture but currently those more traditionally based models are way more convincing.


Counter counter point: apples hardware division has been doing great work in the last 5 years, it’s their software that seems to have gone off the rails (in my opinion).


I'm not sure how this is a counter-point to the allegation that Tim Cook isn't really an engineer.


I would describe those issues as technical. It’s genuinely getting things wrong because the “safety” element was implemented poorly.


Those are safety elements which exist for political reasons, not technical ones.


YouTuber yes, Teenager no. Drake has been working with lasers for more than a decade and pursued a PhD on the subject.


Dang, you're right. How the years go by. I remember watching old videos of his and thinking, "the kids are alright"


This problem with Linux is pretty much gone and has been for a couple years now.


So ... all the windows games now run on Linux? That would be news to me. And I was just recently messing with drivers, kernels etc to get a working result, but in the end I still could not play the (officially supported) game on Linux that I wanted (opposed to just works on windows), so good for you that your problems went away, but please note, that other people might have had other experiences.


The vast majority just run out of the box with steam now, often with better performance than windows.

Quite a few that use other launchers are "plug and play" installs with lutris (like WoW).


Not all, kernel level anticheat with the big multiplayer games is a problem these days (areweanticheatyet.com), but other than that, most titles work.


Yes and this is awesome, but the comment I replied to, seemed to imply that all the problems went away since years and this is just wrong in my experience and can create wrong expectations for people trying out Linux again - just to get disappointed.


Name a game and it probably works on linux these days.

My favourite games all do, but I'm already using consoles exclusively for my gaming because I was unhappy being held prisoner.


Well, Total Warhammer 3 for example did not work for me through official Steam, even though it should. It runs on the same computer on windows without problems. And with much more tinkering I surely could get it to run on Linux as well .. but I want to play games to relax and not get and solve new problems.


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