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> Fortunately 3d printed guns are bad enough that it's not really an issue

It does actually seem like they are an issue - the technology has now been used in several high profile murders and police are reporting seizing them pretty regularly.

I don't think that justifies taking away the freedom to 3D print, but the truth is that if you're committing a crime there are a lot of advantages to a dirt-cheap untraceable nonferrous gun even if it only lasts a few shots.


It was built by another company, but for a brand new machine of that size and complexity the launch customer is going to be required to do a ton of work to get it functional. Tesla was the first to try and build a car that way, they made whole cemeteries of failed castings to prove it out, and now the rest of the industry is buying the machines too.

I think that a reasonable person, without knowing the CEO, would call that innovative.


Vertical = a fridge that opens around a vertical axis and ditto for horizontal.

The ads pushing would be just as possible with a fully native start menu.

Using React for it was probably done since it's just objectively easier and faster to tweak a React app than native components (see various folks complaining about WinUI).


I was addressing the concept of developers taking it upon themselves to rewrite the menu (in whatever; React is beside the point) in order not to seem redundant and to pad their résumés.

Regional planes are for direct routes to smaller airports, but hub-to-hub flights can be filled up and easily justify larger airplanes.

T-Mobile also offers free Wifi on airplanes.

Only if the airplane uses much slower ground based Gogo (?). I use it every now and then when taking the 45 minute flight from ATL to my parents home in South GA

So if AI can't emulate it, what's the issue?

I do think AI can emulate it - one of the earliest headlines I remember is an AI piece winning a digital art competition. The piece was great and the influence of the (human) artist was obvious.

If something is beautiful, I can't be assed to care what kind of paint was used to create it. If you trust human beings to continue to appreciate art as we have done since the beginning, there's not going to be any intractable issues.


>If you trust human beings to continue to appreciate art as we have done since the beginning, there's not going to be any intractable issues

When did the discussion become about trusting the audience? I think the discussion has always surrounded whether it's worthwhile to treat art as a problem that needs solving.


Well, if you think it's not a problem to solve then you should go tell all the paintbrush manufacturers that their services will no longer be needed. Ditto for publishers, patrons of the arts, etc., etc.

If art is worth doing it's worth doing with good tools.


> If art is worth doing it's worth doing with good tools.

Yeah, that's why we should keep LLMs out of it.


The country has categorically not been blockaded. A blockade is an act of war where a country prevents all trade regardless of origin.

Cuba has been embargoed which prevents US owned businesses, as well as any businesses which operate in the US, from trading with it. An embargo is not an act of war, it's a way for market economies to apply economic pressure using their soft power. It's not enforced by the military away from the territory of the country placing the embargo and is instead enforced domestically using the police.

Large oil-producing countries that traded with Cuba include Venezuela, Russia (the USSR before 1990), China, and Iran. Market democracies are all pretty OK with the embargo, because trade with a country that doesn't recognize property rights is inherently fraught.


Technically the US did blockade Cuba from receiving oil, specifically from Venezuela. Blocking tankers, boarding them, and even confiscating them.

The embargo continues, as it has for decades, but the oil blockade is a real thing.


You make that sound like the US has been stopping Venezuelan tankers for decades.

It hasn't, that's a Trump special. Cuba's energy insecurity goes back a lot longer.


Of those countries, only China remains relatively unencumbered and they've limited exports for internal reasons. There were also a few other source countries like Mexico, Brazil, and Algeria. Algeria stopped years ago because of internal issues. Mexico and Brazil stopped after pressure from the US. That leaves Cuba's domestic production, which is limited to begin with and can't be refined in any sufficient quantity.

Use whatever word you want to use to describe the situation, but the practical result strongly resembles a blockade.


> Of those countries, only China remains relatively unencumbered and they've limited exports for internal reasons.

Yeah, only China remains unencumbered because only China didn't collapse under the weight of an absurd ideology and crushingly oppressive government. Thanks to Xi's heavyhanded interventions and reassertion of state control, they're trending the wrong way.

The USSR couldn't compete with the free world and collapsed. Venezuela had been shedding refugees for decades before Trump abducted the pro-Havana regime. Iran murdered 30,000 protestors in the streets before the US started bombing it. No matter how you slice it, Cuba had decades of steady imports from friendly nations and yet has remained poor and underdeveloped because of its economic model. No amount of trained doctors or public healthcare can compete with the fact that, until recently, it was illegal to start a business on the island.

If we rewind to 2015 before Trump ever took office, none of these were different. All of those countries were flimsy states and unreliable trading partners, and Cuba routinely dealt with famines and shortages. American pressure doesn't help, but even if the US hadn't embargoed Cuba when the revolution happened it would still have been forced to embargo it afterwards when the Cuban government started launching into its anti-US foreign interventions (there's a fascinating Wikipedia rabbit hole there, if you're bored).

I will use words to describe the situation that actually describe the situation. Cuba sucks at trade because it has been continuously alienating its largest neighbor and blocking domestic industry from forming since the revolution.

Mind you, the US even supported the Cuban Revolution against Batista (despite supporting him for decades). That lasted until the revolutionary government started seizing American holdings and executing landlords.

The history of the two countries is complicated and it does both of them a disservice to pretend like this is a black-and-white "evil imperialist US embargoes a fledgling, innocent socialist Republic."


I'm not sure where in my comment you read any positive statements about Cuba, but I assure you they're not present. I'm only saying that the situation created by the US this year is little different in practice from the effects of actions you would call a blockade.

Right, but that cost is also incurred by human-written code that happens to have bugs.

In theory experienced humans introduce less bugs. That sounds reasonable and believable, but anyone who's ever been paid to write software knows that finding reliable humans is not an easy task unless you're at a large established company.


The question then becomes, can LLMs generate code close to the same quality as professionals.

In my experience, they are not even close.


Well, if you keep in mind that "professionals" means "people paid to write code" then LLMs have been generating code at the same quality OR BETTER for about a year now. Most code sucks.

If you compare it to beautiful code written by true experts, then obviously not, but that kind of code isn't what makes the world go 'round.


We should qualify that kind of statement, as it’s valuable to define just what percentile of “professional developers” the quality falls into. It will likely never replace p90 developers for example, but it’s better than somewhere between there and p10. Arbitrary numbers for examples.

Can you quantify the quality of a p90 or p10 developer?

I would frame it differently. There are developers successfully shipping product X. Those developer are, on average, as skilled as necessary to work on project X. else they would have moved on or the project would have failed.

Can LLMs produce the same level of quality as project X developers? The only projects I know of where this is true are toy and hobby projects.


> Can you quantify the quality of a p90 or p10 developer?

Of course not, you have switched “quality” in this statement to modify the developer instead of their work. Regarding the work, each project, as you agree with me on from your reply, has an average quality for its code. Some developers bring that down on the whole, others bring it up. An LLM would have a place somewhere on that spectrum.


In a one-shot scenario, I agree. But LLMs make iteration much faster. So the comparison is not really between an AI and an experienced dev coding by hand, it's between the dev iterating with an LLM and the dev iterating by hand. And the former can produce high-quality code much faster than the latter.

The question is, what happens when you have a middling dev iterating with an LLM? And in that case, the drop in quality is probably non-linear---it can get pretty bad, pretty fast.


There was a recent study posted here that showed AI introduces regressions at an alarming rate, all but one above 50%, which indicates they spend a lot of time fixing their own mistakes. You've probably seen them doing this kind of thing, making one change that breaks another, going and adjusting that thing, not realizing that's making things worse.

The study is likely "SWE-CI: Evaluating Agent Capabilities in Maintaining Codebases via Continuous Integration". Regression rate plot is figure 6.

Read the study to understand what it is measuring and how it was measured. As I understand parent's summary is fine, but you want to understand it first before repeating it to others.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.03823


Observation 3

Yeah, e-bikes with thumb throttles are so good that the only reason they haven't already supplanted motorcycles is that there are ten bajillion old unkillable motorcycle engines in use.

It's a shame that US law doesn't have a nice in-between that would slot these bikes between proper e-bikes and motorcycles.


What's wrong with following motorcycle regulations?

Because e-bikes have effectively done regulatory arbitrage and the sky didn't fall. You want more people using small electric vehicles where before they would have used a car, you lower the burden to get one on the road.

Head injuries are way up.

Because owning a motorcycle is a huge pain in the ass on account of motorcycles costing a decent amount of money, weighing 300lbs, going on the highway. If a $1000 ebike can only hit 40mph and weighs less than 100lbs, why not let people just buy them and ride them with a normal drivers' license?

The ebike could meet motorcycle regulations easily and cheaply.

Ebikes definitely aren't a viable alternative in Asia yet. Most Asian countries either have no charge stations or very few. Range doesn't compare with gas motorcycles.

Hundreds of millions of motorcycles are still in active use with no real incentive to change


Genuine question, could many of them not charge at home? I own an EV and the number of charging stations near me is irrelevant to it because the 120V outlet in my garage is more than sufficient. My naive thinking is that an ebike is an order of magnitude smaller, so surely the same outlet would be even less of a limitation, right? (not to mention that many other countries have ~240V standard outlets)

Maybe the answer is truly "no, that wouldn't actually be practical for how people in those places live" for some reason, but I'm genuinely curious.


> Ebikes definitely aren't a viable alternative in Asia yet. Most Asian countries either have no charge stations or very few. Range doesn't compare with gas motorcycles.

I was in China last year and one apartment complex I stayed at had a garage full of e scooters and bikes all plugged in to charge.

The streets in China are remarkably quiet now with so many electric vehicles.


Nope, they're increasingly viable. Nearly 10M electric scooters/bikes were sold last year, with the top three players being China, India and Vietnam.

https://www.motorcyclesdata.com/2026/03/11/electric-motorcyc...


Just those 3 countries is over 3 billion people. Most of them can't afford cars

> Most Asian countries either have no charge stations or very few

I think Vinfast would like to have a word with you…


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