Game 12 was disappointing from a fan perspective, but I think it's important to recognize the difficulty for anyone to change their mindset from "a draw is a win" to "I will win" without putting themselves at great risk.
I'm sure if Magnus had the benefit of the computer valuation he would have made more striking moves, but his reasons for taking safer approach (a4, e4) makes sense especially considering how evenly Caruana fought back in previous winning positions, and his objective going in.
At the point he offered the draw, even the computer suggested it was fairly even. The shocking part for me was that he also had a huge advantage in time, but I suppose he did not have the right mindset to switch gears.
I think if you want the championship to be more about "heart/courage" (and less about cold calculation) they just need shorter time controls. That was my one takeaway. Maybe something in-between rapid and classical. If you want to see robots push marginal advantages in drawish positions, just set up an AI tournament. Leave the humans to demonstrate heart, courage, and intuition!
Agreed that this is the hardest part is taking the quiz. Not sure if you'll see consistent interpretations based on age/education, but curious to see your analysis of this!
I thought the explanations in the "more info" box was very useful. I'd suggest keeping it open by default on the first page (closed on other pages) as it seems a critical to read that box before taking the quiz. Just a thought!
Very interesting article. In the end, I was a bit confused on how you converted the binomial regression to a single number. I understood that the output was a probability that I know each of the 10,000 items, so then did you need to use some cutoff to decide that I "knew it"?
Anyways, I am interested to see what analysis you do after you get more data.
Thanks for the interest -- it's actually just a sum of the probabilities for the items from 1 to 10,000. For example, if there's a 0.1 chance you know each of 10 items, it adds up to a total value of 1 -- no cutoff needed.
Mathematically, there's a trick where you don't even need to compute the sum item-by-item... I calculate the binomial regression which gives me the two relevant parameters, from which I can calculate the probability density function (PDF) [1] for an item of given rank. Then I just calculate the associated cumulative distribution function (CDF) with the same two parameters [2] for rank 10,000 -- and that's the final result.
I've been wanting this for a long time! Thanks for sharing. I wish it was integrated into MacOS though, so I could access via keyboard shortcut. There are so many times I realize I need to "remove formatting" but only after I've already pasted and quick access to OCR would be great.
Thanks -- yeah, I'd love to build something like that, like Cmd+Opt+Shift+V or something... unfortunately my skills are all web programming, I wouldn't have a clue how to build an OS-wide keyboard shortcut. If there's enough interest, maybe I could learn though...
Yes - it is short for daily active user and often compared to WAU(weekly) and MAU(monthly) to get rough idea of engagement. The apps with the highest DAU are usually really silly games, though, so maybe you are on to something there...
Overall, I agree with this comment. (Y-meter is visually too complex, # comments too far right, etc.) One point not mentioned is that UX for viewing comments is much worse for web users, since the link is now so far from other links.
While I think hacker news could use a redesign, I think you focused on the wrong aspects. I think the #1 goal would have to be to make it responsive / mobile-friendly over any sort of new visualization of points. Beyond that, I think the question is more about typography than visual design. A single # seems the simplest/clearest way to represent points, but the question is just where it fits in the visual hierarchy, font, color, etc.
I would not put too much thought into a modern web design that does not consider different screen sizes.
As a former user and fan of Outbox, it makes me both happy and jealous to see the Swiss post take this on. It makes so much sense. Too bad the USPS is so dependent on junk mail to ever try this. Or..if they did they would mess it up by blasting your "e-post-box" with e-junk-mail.
Hey I can understand one would like that service, but the price at which they are providing it is really high! As a swiss citizen, I'd never subscribe :s
I wouldn't subscribe whilst in Switzerland either, but I'am considering using their service while traveling. Since I only have to actually open about 2-3 Mails per month, I think the price is ok. At least a don't know anybody who would (and I trust to) handle my mails for ~36 CHF per month except my parents. But I feel kind of bad using them as my "secretaries".
The one that will win — will be the one that gives devs the confidence to run in full “yolo/autonomous” mode. That’s the future.