As far as I can tell it will only increase developer demand. The main driver is starry eyed investors shoveling money into AI startups. This isn't just a boost to developer employment it might be the life support machine preventing the bottom falling out of the dev hiring market right now.
From what I've seen the productivity boost is negligible and might even be negative. The developers I've seen who claim a productivity boost seem to discount all the times it leads them astray. This needs to be deducted from the productivity gains driven by getting the odd snippets of code a few minutes faster. I know that most of the times I've asked questions I couldn't trivially google it gave me bullshit answers.
It's ironic, really. However, it just goes to show that the mainstream corporate media is very, very good at spinning a narrative out of fiction. Even junior devs are convinced by this narrative.
The big risk for job prospects for devs is not AI it is tech industry consolidation: that is, Microsoft, Amazon and Google growing their competitive moat and swallowing or destroying startup competition. The more secure they feel in their market position the more likely they will be to swap their workforce with cheaper, lower quality workers. This is what happened to Detroit in the 1950s and why it went from a thriving middle class city with tens of thousands of auto industry SMEs to a desolate wasteland run by 3 vertically integrated companies who conspired to strangle all startup competition.
From what I've seen the productivity boost is negligible and might even be negative. The developers I've seen who claim a productivity boost seem to discount all the times it leads them astray. This needs to be deducted from the productivity gains driven by getting the odd snippets of code a few minutes faster. I know that most of the times I've asked questions I couldn't trivially google it gave me bullshit answers.
It's ironic, really. However, it just goes to show that the mainstream corporate media is very, very good at spinning a narrative out of fiction. Even junior devs are convinced by this narrative.
The big risk for job prospects for devs is not AI it is tech industry consolidation: that is, Microsoft, Amazon and Google growing their competitive moat and swallowing or destroying startup competition. The more secure they feel in their market position the more likely they will be to swap their workforce with cheaper, lower quality workers. This is what happened to Detroit in the 1950s and why it went from a thriving middle class city with tens of thousands of auto industry SMEs to a desolate wasteland run by 3 vertically integrated companies who conspired to strangle all startup competition.